Election 2012

August 20, 2011

My friends and I recently shared our thoughts on the outcome of the 2012 elections. Some thought Republicans would capture the Presidency but lose the House. I don’t see that happening, but the reasoning is sound. Democrats would successfully scare enough people Republicans are going to scuttle Medicare and Social Security that they’ll take the House back.

It’s not that I don’t think Democrats will try that. I just figure that by November of 2012 a sufficient number of people will believe they aren’t going to see any money from these programs anyway. It’s hard to scare people they’re going to lose something when they don’t really think they have it in the first place.

We have a test case of sorts. On September 12 there’s going to be a special election for Anthony Weiner’s seat (snicker snicker). I don’t know the specifics of the race, but I do know the Republican is running six points behind the Democrat in a district where Democrats outnumber Republicans three to one. At least according to this article, he is.

http://www.nypost.com/p/news/local/brooklyn/panicked_dems_in_turner_mail_strom_4ptdwmhilxMmZpA0PfhN3N

As for Obama if he could manage to run for President without actually doing any campaigning he would have a better chance. With his recent trip to “The Vineyard” he’s a walking, talking PR disaster.

 

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